Langue:Français
CS Maritimo v Benfica
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CS Maritimo (Local)
Prévision 8.93%11.19cote équitable
EV +7.20%
Avantage +0.600%
Kelly +0.655%
Croissance +0.047%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.68%9.00%8.97%10.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.7011.0012.0011.76%9.35%9.09%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Benfica (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.02%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -2.50%
Kelly -11.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.73%74.72%75.10%76.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.231.231.2984.03%81.22%81.30%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 16.05%6.23cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -0.618%
Kelly -0.741%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.00%16.28%15.93%19.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.675.606.0020.83%17.62%17.86%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CS Maritimo (Local) : 8.93% ; Benfica (Visiteur) : 75.02% ; Match nul : 16.05%. Pour CS Maritimo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.19. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.20%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.94I 9.14%NM 8.78%EV -2.27%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.48%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.74%EV -7.88%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.98%EV -8.43%E -0.823%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.43%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.30%EV -9.33%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.81%EV -4.19%E -0.702%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -12.90%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -24.07%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.80% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |