Idioma:Español
CS Maritimo v Benfica
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CS Maritimo (Local)
Predicción 8.93%11.19momio equitativo
EV +7.20%
Ventaja +0.600%
Kelly +0.655%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.68%9.00%8.97%10.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.7011.0012.0011.76%9.35%9.09%8.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Benfica (Visitante)
Predicción 75.02%1.33momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -2.50%
Kelly -11.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.73%74.72%75.10%76.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.231.231.2984.03%81.22%81.30%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 16.05%6.23momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -0.741%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.00%16.28%15.93%19.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.675.606.0020.83%17.62%17.86%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CS Maritimo (Local): 8.93%; Benfica (Visitante): 75.02%; Empate: 16.05%. Para CS Maritimo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.19. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 12.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV +7.20%E +0.600%K +0.655%G +0.047% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.56%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.41%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.13%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV +2.73%E +0.238%K +0.260%G +0.007% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.88%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -22.97%E -4.78%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.72%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 03:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -1.73%E -0.157%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.94I 9.14%NM 8.78%EV -2.27%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.48%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.74%EV -7.88%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -6.20%E -0.590%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.42%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.98%EV -8.43%E -0.823%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.43%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -5.31%E -0.900%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.30%EV -9.33%E -0.919%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.90%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.81%EV -4.19%E -0.702%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -19.76%E -3.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -10.67%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.10%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -10.13%E -1.81%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.23%EV -12.90%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.40%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -11.73%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.60%E -2.18%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.98%E -8.32%K -49.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -3.71%E -0.618%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -24.07%E -2.83%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.73%E -9.02%K -56.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -6.92%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.85% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.80% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |