StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: CF Estrela 2–2 Sporting Lisbon

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

CF Estrela (Hemma)

Prognos 10.43%9.59rättvist odds
EV +4.32%
Fördel +0.432%
Kelly +0.481%
Tillväxt +0.021%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.35%10.51%10.42%12.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.009.129.5010.0014.29%10.97%10.53%10.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Lisbon (Borta)

Prognos 71.22%1.40rättvist odds
EV -3.85%
Fördel -2.85%
Kelly -11.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.05%71.16%71.31%73.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.40%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.35%5.45rättvist odds
EV +0.904%
Fördel +0.164%
Kelly +0.201%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.00%18.33%18.27%19.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.135.105.5021.74%19.48%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: CF Estrela (Hemma): 10.43%; Sporting Lisbon (Borta): 71.22%; Oavgjort: 18.35%. För CF Estrela (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 9.59. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 10.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.32%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-08 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:15
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:19
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:15
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Betsson🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.24%E +0.228%K +0.254%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -0.931%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 19:25
NordicBet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.24%E +0.228%K +0.254%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -0.931%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 19:25
SportsBet🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.57%EV +1.72%E +0.176%K +0.196%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:15
Pinnacle🎯9.67I 10.34%NM 9.92%EV +0.882%E +0.091%K +0.102%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.09%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.99%EV -2.22%E -0.416%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -2.77%E -0.522%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -2.77%E -0.522%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 19:25
Bet Right🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:00
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:10
888sport🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:14
William Hill🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:15
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:00
betfred_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:14
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:34
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:34
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:35
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 19:14
Bovada🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:23
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 19:19
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:15
FanDuel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -10.97%E -8.78%K -43.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.86%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.74%EV -13.11%E -10.75%K -59.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:19
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:49
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.94%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 18:49
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.94%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -12.37%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.71%EV -13.93%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.09%EV -10.26%E -8.14%K -39.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.61%E -3.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 19:25
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:55
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:55
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.42%EV -17.58%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.97%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -11.02%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -19.15%E -2.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -24.36%E -3.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -26.97%E -3.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -10.10%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 19:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:00
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.91%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.80%1.1%2026-08-08 19:20
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.36%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86%1.8%2026-08-08 19:15