Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC

Score final : CF Estrela 2–2 Sporting Lisbon

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

CF Estrela (Local)

Prévision 10.43%9.59cote équitable
EV +4.32%
Avantage +0.432%
Kelly +0.481%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.35%10.51%10.42%12.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.009.129.5010.0014.29%10.97%10.53%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sporting Lisbon (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.22%1.40cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -11.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.05%71.16%71.31%73.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.40%76.92%74.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.35%5.45cote équitable
EV +0.904%
Avantage +0.164%
Kelly +0.201%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.00%18.33%18.27%19.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.135.105.5021.74%19.48%19.61%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : CF Estrela (Local) : 10.43% ; Sporting Lisbon (Visiteur) : 71.22% ; Match nul : 18.35%. Pour CF Estrela (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.59. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-08 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:15
Fanatics🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:19
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:15
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
Betsson🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.24%E +0.228%K +0.254%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -0.931%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 19:25
NordicBet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.24%E +0.228%K +0.254%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -0.931%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 19:25
SportsBet🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.57%EV +1.72%E +0.176%K +0.196%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 19:15
Pinnacle🎯9.67I 10.34%NM 9.92%EV +0.882%E +0.091%K +0.102%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.09%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.99%EV -2.22%E -0.416%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -2.77%E -0.522%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -2.77%E -0.522%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 19:25
Bet Right🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 19:00
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:10
888sport🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:14
William Hill🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 19:15
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 19:00
betfred_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:14
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:34
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:34
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:35
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 19:14
Bovada🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:23
BetUS🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 19:19
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:15
FanDuel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -10.97%E -8.78%K -43.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.86%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.74%EV -13.11%E -10.75%K -59.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 19:19
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:14
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:49
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.94%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 18:49
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.94%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -12.37%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 10.71%EV -13.93%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.09%EV -10.26%E -8.14%K -39.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.61%E -3.39%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 19:25
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 18:55
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:55
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 11.42%EV -17.58%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.97%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -11.02%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -19.15%E -2.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -24.36%E -3.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -26.97%E -3.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -10.10%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 19:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:10
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-08 19:00
Kalshi◎11.11I 9.00%NM 8.91%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.80%1.1%2026-08-08 19:20
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.36%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86%1.8%2026-08-08 19:15