La scuola delle quote

CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon

2026-08-08 19:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Testa a testa

17 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

CF Estrela (Casa)

Previsione 8.36%11.97quota equa
EV +0.260%
Vantaggio +0.022%
Kelly +0.024%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.94%8.37%8.37%10.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.7510.5911.0012.0012.90%9.44%9.09%8.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sporting Lisbon (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.73%1.32quota equa
EV -5.33%
Vantaggio -4.27%
Kelly -21.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.38%75.67%75.82%76.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.221.211.2586.21%82.21%82.64%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.91%6.28quota equa
EV -0.552%
Vantaggio -0.088%
Kelly -0.105%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.91%15.96%15.81%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.725.756.2520.00%17.47%17.39%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (17 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +0.260%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -0.552%E -0.088%K -0.105%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 11:50
Betr (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -3.92%E -0.341%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.53%E -0.755%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 11:50
Fanatics11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -3.92%E -0.341%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.07%EV -6.09%E -4.91%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.53%E -0.755%K -0.906%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 13:01
SportsBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -3.92%E -0.341%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.99%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -0.552%E -0.088%K -0.105%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 11:50
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.33%E -4.27%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.49%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 12:55
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.33%E -4.27%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.49%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 12:55
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.33%E -4.27%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.49%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 12:55
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.43%EV -6.85%E -5.57%K -29.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.51%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 11:49
FanDuel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.53%E -0.755%K -0.906%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 11:48
Paddy Power11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.53%E -0.755%K -0.906%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -4.53%E -0.755%K -0.906%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 11:50
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.09%E -0.736%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.61%E -6.23%K -34.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.49%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 10:49
Betclic (FR)10.25I 9.76%NM 8.89%EV -14.36%E -1.40%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.27%EV -8.36%E -6.91%K -39.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -8.51%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 10:49
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -20.63%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.12%E -7.60%K -45.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.49%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 11:50
Unibet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -20.63%E -2.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 74.09%EV -9.88%E -8.30%K -51.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.63%EV -15.67%E -2.96%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-27 10:50
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -28.98%E -3.41%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 73.89%EV -10.63%E -9.01%K -59.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.85%EV -12.49%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-27 10:50
Winamax (FR)7.75I 12.90%NM 10.83%EV -35.25%E -4.55%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 72.38%EV -12.15%E -10.47%K -75.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.79%EV -20.44%E -4.09%K -5.11%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-27 10:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.