Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: CF Estrela (Local): 10.43%; Sporting Lisbon (Visitante): 71.22%; Empate: 18.35%. Para CF Estrela (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.59. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.32%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +4.32%E +0.432%K +0.481%G +0.021% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.904%E +0.164%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.24%E +0.228%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -0.931%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV +2.24%E +0.228%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -9.55%E -7.52%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -0.931%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.57%EV +1.72%E +0.176%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.67I 10.34%NM 9.92%EV +0.882%E +0.091%K +0.102%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.09%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.99%EV -2.22%E -0.416%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -2.77%E -0.522%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -2.77%E -0.522%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.38%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.53%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.05%EV -11.69%E -9.42%K -48.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.891%E -0.094%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.21%EV -12.40%E -10.08%K -53.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.32%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.28%E -3.97%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.60%E -0.885%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 19:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -10.97%E -8.78%K -43.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.86%EV -6.11%E -0.679%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.74%EV -13.11%E -10.75%K -59.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -4.56%E -3.41%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 19:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.94%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -11.32%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.94%E -2.49%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -12.37%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.71%EV -13.93%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.09%EV -10.26%E -8.14%K -39.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -15.61%E -3.39%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.68%E -0.702%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -16.54%E -2.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.27%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.42%EV -17.58%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.97%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -11.02%E -2.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.76%EV -19.15%E -2.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.05%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -12.86%E -2.71%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -24.36%E -3.36%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -6.43%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -26.97%E -3.85%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -8.12%E -6.30%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -10.10%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 19:09 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.94% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.91% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.30% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.80% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.36% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.78% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 19:15 |