Language:English
Casa Pia v Tondela
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Casa Pia (Local)
Prediction 40.47%2.47fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.44%40.50%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.3945.45%43.25%43.48%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tondela (Visit)
Prediction 29.37%3.40fair odd
EV -0.439%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.184%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%29.44%29.32%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.103.103.3934.72%32.22%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.17%3.32fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.604%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.95%30.12%30.18%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.21%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Casa Pia (Local): 40.47%; Tondela (Visit): 29.37%; Draw: 30.17%. For Tondela (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.39, with an expected value of -0.439%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.79%E -0.842%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.19%EV -3.17%E -0.987%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.17%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -2.26%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.95%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.439%E -0.129%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.42%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 14:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.09%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 08:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 08:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -7.74%E -3.39%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 14:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |