Школа коэффициентов

Casa Pia v Tondela

Начало: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Итог: Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Casa Pia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.47%2.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.29%
Преимущество -1.38%
Kelly -2.37%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.39

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.05%40.44%40.50%41.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.312.302.3945.45%43.25%43.48%41.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Tondela (Гости)

Прогноз 29.37%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.439%
Преимущество -0.129%
Kelly -0.184%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.39

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.32%29.44%29.32%31.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.103.103.3934.72%32.22%32.26%29.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.17%3.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.96%
Преимущество -0.604%
Kelly -0.872%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.95%30.12%30.18%30.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.21%32.26%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.79%E -0.842%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.19%EV -3.17%E -0.987%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:05
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 40.17%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -2.26%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:05
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.95%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.439%E -0.129%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.42%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 12:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:00
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:23
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.09%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:05
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 08:31
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 08:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:09
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -7.74%E -3.39%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 13:55
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-03 14:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-05-03 14:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%2.3%2026-05-03 14:05