赔率学院

Casa Pia v Tondela

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

最终结果: Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Casa Pia (主队)

预测 40.47%2.47公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -2.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.39

博彩公司预测分布
39.05%40.44%40.50%41.53%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.202.312.302.3945.45%43.25%43.48%41.84%MIN均值中位数MAX

Tondela (客队)

预测 29.37%3.40公平赔率
EV -0.439%
优势 -0.129%
Kelly -0.184%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.39

博彩公司预测分布
28.32%29.44%29.32%31.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.103.103.3934.72%32.22%32.26%29.50%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.17%3.32公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.604%
Kelly -0.872%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.95%30.12%30.18%30.95%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.21%32.26%30.77%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.79%E -0.842%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.19%EV -3.17%E -0.987%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:05
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 40.17%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -2.26%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:05
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.95%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.439%E -0.129%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.42%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 12:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:00
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:23
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.09%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:05
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 08:31
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 08:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:09
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -7.74%E -3.39%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 13:55
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-03 14:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-05-03 14:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%2.3%2026-05-03 14:05