مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casa Pia v Tondela

البداية: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casa Pia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.47%2.47السعر العادل
EV -3.29%
الأفضلية -1.38%
Kelly -2.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.05%40.44%40.50%41.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.312.302.3945.45%43.25%43.48%41.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tondela (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.37%3.40السعر العادل
EV -0.439%
الأفضلية -0.129%
Kelly -0.184%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.32%29.44%29.32%31.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.103.103.3934.72%32.22%32.26%29.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.17%3.32السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -0.604%
Kelly -0.872%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.95%30.12%30.18%30.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.103.2535.71%32.21%32.26%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -2.79%E -0.842%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.19%EV -3.17%E -0.987%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:05
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 40.17%EV -3.29%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.19%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -2.26%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 13:55
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:05
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:05
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.95%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.439%E -0.129%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.42%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 40.00%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.95%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:05
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -1.96%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 12:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:00
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 13:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.61%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -8.30%E -2.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -5.88%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 14:23
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -5.14%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.09%E -2.30%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:05
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 08:31
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 08:15
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:09
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.83%E -5.11%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -7.74%E -3.39%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 13:55
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.08%E -0.934%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:20
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -4.98%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.00%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.49%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -15.42%E -5.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.54%E -5.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-03 14:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-05-03 14:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-05-03 14:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%2.3%2026-05-03 14:05