赔率学院简体中文
Casa Pia v Benfica
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Casa Pia (主队)
预测 7.26%13.76公平赔率
EV +8.97%
优势 +0.598%
Kelly +0.641%
增长率 +0.058%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.16%7.32%7.22%8.64%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
10.5013.0113.0015.009.52%7.68%7.69%6.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
Benfica (客队)
预测 77.82%1.29公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -7.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.26
博彩公司预测分布
74.10%77.71%77.78%79.95%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.61%83.33%79.37%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 14.91%6.70公平赔率
EV +5.89%
优势 +0.830%
Kelly +0.966%
增长率 +0.057%
假设最高赔率为 7.10
博彩公司预测分布
13.36%14.97%14.99%17.78%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.256.326.257.1019.05%15.81%16.00%14.08%MIN均值中位数MAX
博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| PlayUp | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.60%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.24%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| Paddy Power | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:25 |
| NordicBet | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 19:39 |
| Betsson | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.83%EV +3.16%E +0.223%K +0.239%G +0.008% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.51%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.66%EV +5.89%E +0.830%K +0.966%G +0.057% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 18:08 |
| Grosvenor | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Casumo | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| betPARX | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Bally Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Sky Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 19:24 |
| TABtouch | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 19:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 19:25 |
| Bet Right | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 19:25 |
| BetRivers | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.01%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 19:25 |
| Unibet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 19:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| LeoVegas | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.51%E -9.14%K -70.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| GTbets | 12.82I 7.80%NM 7.61%EV -6.86%E -0.535%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.92%EV -2.46%E -0.376%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| Pinnacle | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.42%EV -7.37%E -0.578%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.20%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.38%EV -1.86%E -0.283%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.60%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 18:59 |
| Coral | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| BetUS | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 19:39 |
| Everygame | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 18:50 |
| 888sport | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| William Hill | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:35 |
| Betway | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Neds | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| BetMGM | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.10%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -21.70%E -4.13%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -23.72%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 19:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.72% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |
| Kalshi | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.75% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.94% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |