مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casa Pia v Benfica

البداية: 2026-04-06 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casa Pia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 7.26%13.76السعر العادل
EV +8.97%
الأفضلية +0.598%
Kelly +0.641%
النمو +0.058%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 15.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.16%7.32%7.22%8.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.5013.0113.0015.009.52%7.68%7.69%6.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Benfica (الضيف)

التنبؤ 77.82%1.29السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -1.54%
Kelly -7.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.10%77.71%77.78%79.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.61%83.33%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 14.91%6.70السعر العادل
EV +5.89%
الأفضلية +0.830%
Kelly +0.966%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.36%14.97%14.99%17.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.256.326.257.1019.05%15.81%16.00%14.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 19:15
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.60%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.24%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 19:35
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 19:25
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:25
NordicBet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 19:39
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 19:40
1xBet14.20I 7.04%NM 6.83%EV +3.16%E +0.223%K +0.239%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.51%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.66%EV +5.89%E +0.830%K +0.966%G +0.057%3.1%2026-04-06 19:35
Coolbet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:25
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 19:30
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 19:30
Fanatics14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032%6.2%2026-04-06 19:30
Betclic (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 18:08
Grosvenor14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
betPARX14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Bally Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Sky Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032%6.9%2026-04-06 19:24
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 19:40
FanDuel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 19:29
DraftKings13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:35
Unibet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 19:19
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 19:25
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 19:25
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 19:30
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.01%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 19:25
Unibet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 19:40
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 19:29
PMU (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 19:40
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 19:40
LeoVegas13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.51%E -9.14%K -70.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 19:40
GTbets12.82I 7.80%NM 7.61%EV -6.86%E -0.535%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.92%EV -2.46%E -0.376%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 19:35
Pinnacle12.75I 7.84%NM 7.42%EV -7.37%E -0.578%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.20%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.38%EV -1.86%E -0.283%K -0.334%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:30
LowVig.ag12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-06 19:40
BetOnline.ag12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-06 19:40
NetBet (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.60%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 18:59
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:05
BetUS12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:39
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:50
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:00
Neds11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:05
BetMGM11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:05
Marathon Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.10%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -21.70%E -4.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 19:20
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -23.72%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 19:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.72%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-04-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Matchbook19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%2.1%2026-04-06 19:40
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.75%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%4.3%2026-04-06 19:40