Szkoła Kursów

Casa Pia v Benfica

Początek: 2026-04-06 19:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Casa Pia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 7.26%13.76kurs godziwy
EV +8.97%
Przewaga +0.598%
Kelly +0.641%
Wzrost +0.058%

przy maksymalnym kursie 15.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.16%7.32%7.22%8.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
10.5013.0113.0015.009.52%7.68%7.69%6.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Benfica (Goście)

Prognoza 77.82%1.29kurs godziwy
EV -1.95%
Przewaga -1.54%
Kelly -7.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.10%77.71%77.78%79.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.61%83.33%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 14.91%6.70kurs godziwy
EV +5.89%
Przewaga +0.830%
Kelly +0.966%
Wzrost +0.057%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.36%14.97%14.99%17.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.256.326.257.1019.05%15.81%16.00%14.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 19:15
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.60%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.24%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 19:35
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 19:25
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:25
NordicBet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 19:39
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 19:40
1xBet14.20I 7.04%NM 6.83%EV +3.16%E +0.223%K +0.239%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.51%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.66%EV +5.89%E +0.830%K +0.966%G +0.057%3.1%2026-04-06 19:35
Coolbet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:25
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 19:30
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 19:30
Fanatics14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032%6.2%2026-04-06 19:30
Betclic (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 18:08
Grosvenor14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
betPARX14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Bally Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Sky Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032%6.9%2026-04-06 19:24
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 19:40
FanDuel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 19:29
DraftKings13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:35
Unibet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 19:19
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 19:25
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 19:25
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 19:30
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.01%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 19:25
Unibet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 19:40
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 19:29
PMU (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 19:40
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 19:40
LeoVegas13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.51%E -9.14%K -70.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 19:40
GTbets12.82I 7.80%NM 7.61%EV -6.86%E -0.535%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.92%EV -2.46%E -0.376%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 19:35
Pinnacle12.75I 7.84%NM 7.42%EV -7.37%E -0.578%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.20%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.38%EV -1.86%E -0.283%K -0.334%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:30
LowVig.ag12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-06 19:40
BetOnline.ag12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-06 19:40
NetBet (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.60%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 18:59
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:05
BetUS12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:39
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:50
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:00
Neds11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:05
BetMGM11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:05
Marathon Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.10%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -21.70%E -4.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 19:20
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -23.72%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 19:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.72%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-04-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Matchbook19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%2.1%2026-04-06 19:40
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.75%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%4.3%2026-04-06 19:40