Школа коэффициентов

Casa Pia v Benfica

Начало: 2026-04-06 19:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Casa Pia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 7.26%13.76справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.97%
Преимущество +0.598%
Kelly +0.641%
Рост +0.058%

при максимальном коэффициенте 15.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
6.16%7.32%7.22%8.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
10.5013.0113.0015.009.52%7.68%7.69%6.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Benfica (Гости)

Прогноз 77.82%1.29справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.95%
Преимущество -1.54%
Kelly -7.48%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.26

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
74.10%77.71%77.78%79.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.201.201.2686.96%83.61%83.33%79.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 14.91%6.70справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.89%
Преимущество +0.830%
Kelly +0.966%
Рост +0.057%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.36%14.97%14.99%17.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.256.326.257.1019.05%15.81%16.00%14.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Tipico (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 19:15
PlayUp15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.60%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -14.24%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 19:35
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 19:25
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +8.97%E +0.598%K +0.641%G +0.058%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.63%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:25
NordicBet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 19:39
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +5.34%E +0.368%K +0.396%G +0.021%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.61%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.92%EV -12.01%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 19:40
1xBet14.20I 7.04%NM 6.83%EV +3.16%E +0.223%K +0.239%G +0.008%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.51%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.66%EV +5.89%E +0.830%K +0.966%G +0.057%3.1%2026-04-06 19:35
Coolbet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 19:25
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 19:30
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 19:30
Fanatics14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032%6.2%2026-04-06 19:30
Betclic (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.83%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 18:08
Grosvenor14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
betPARX14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Bally Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.68%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Sky Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +4.40%E +0.629%K +0.733%G +0.032%6.9%2026-04-06 19:24
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.82%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 19:40
FanDuel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +1.71%E +0.122%K +0.131%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 19:29
DraftKings13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:35
Unibet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -0.074%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 19:19
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 19:25
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 19:25
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -4.55%E -0.711%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 19:30
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.01%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 19:25
Unibet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.15%EV -8.17%E -6.93%K -45.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 19:40
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 19:40
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 19:29
PMU (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 19:40
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -9.73%E -8.39%K -60.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 19:40
LeoVegas13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%EV -5.56%E -0.427%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.31%EV -10.51%E -9.14%K -70.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -9.02%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 19:40
GTbets12.82I 7.80%NM 7.61%EV -6.86%E -0.535%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.92%EV -2.46%E -0.376%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 19:35
Pinnacle12.75I 7.84%NM 7.42%EV -7.37%E -0.578%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.20%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.38%EV -1.86%E -0.283%K -0.334%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 19:30
LowVig.ag12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-06 19:40
BetOnline.ag12.50I 8.00%NM 7.74%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.03%EV -3.50%E -2.82%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.23%EV +1.42%E +0.209%K +0.244%G +0.003%3.4%2026-04-06 19:40
NetBet (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.26%EV -9.19%E -0.735%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.60%EV -8.95%E -7.65%K -52.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 18:59
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:05
BetUS12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.84%E -4.82%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 19:39
Everygame12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:50
888sport12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
888sport (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 19:35
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -12.82%E -1.07%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:00
Neds11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:05
BetMGM11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.06%E -4.15%K -22.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -6.79%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:05
Marathon Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV -16.45%E -1.43%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.10%EV -1.95%E -1.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -21.70%E -4.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -3.06%E -0.470%K -0.556%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 19:20
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -20.09%E -1.83%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.62%E -5.51%K -33.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -23.72%E -2.26%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -7.39%E -6.21%K -38.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.51%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 19:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.72%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-04-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Matchbook19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%0.8%2026-04-06 19:40
Smarkets18.48I 5.41%NM 5.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%2.1%2026-04-06 19:40
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.75%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.94%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%4.3%2026-04-06 19:40