StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Braga v Estoril

Matchstart: 2026-09-14 19:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Braga 1–0 Estoril

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Braga (Hemma)

Prognos 67.50%1.48rättvist odds
EV -4.15%
Fördel -2.92%
Kelly -9.88%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.90%67.42%67.48%69.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.61%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Estoril (Borta)

Prognos 12.01%8.32rättvist odds
EV +5.97%
Fördel +0.676%
Kelly +0.763%
Tillväxt +0.046%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.92%12.03%12.02%13.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.807.667.508.8214.71%13.06%13.33%11.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.49%4.88rättvist odds
EV -0.645%
Fördel -0.133%
Kelly -0.167%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.51%20.55%20.50%22.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.154.554.504.8524.10%22.00%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Braga (Hemma): 67.50%; Estoril (Borta): 12.01%; Oavgjort: 20.49%. För Estoril (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.32. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.82, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.97%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.29%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%8.82I 11.34%NM 10.92%EV +5.97%E +0.676%K +0.763%G +0.046%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.80%EV -5.15%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.16%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.16%EV +2.72%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68%EV -0.645%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.16%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.16%EV +2.72%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68%EV -0.645%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 11:21
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.16%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.16%EV +2.72%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.68%EV -0.645%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 11:21
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.07%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +2.12%E +0.250%K +0.283%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.60%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.47%EV -0.882%E -0.107%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.93%EV -2.69%E -0.567%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 19:35
Bovada🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.53%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.83%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.38%EV -0.882%E -0.107%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.84%E -1.99%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 19:38
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.05%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 19:21
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.69%E -0.567%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 19:16
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.13%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -6.85%E -4.96%K -18.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.92%EV -8.84%E -1.99%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -7.52%E -5.49%K -20.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.77%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.89%E -0.486%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 19:40
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.42%EV -4.15%E -2.92%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.17%EV -5.45%E -0.692%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.41%EV -3.92%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.16%EV -7.52%E -5.49%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -6.29%E -0.806%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.72%E -0.791%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 19:10
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.93%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.29%E -0.806%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -14.98%E -3.61%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.67%E -0.348%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 19:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.67%E -0.348%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.77%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.30%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:31
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.30%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.30%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.30%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.30%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:40
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -2.69%E -0.567%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 19:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:29
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -11.30%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 19:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.10%EV -9.55%E -7.13%K -28.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -9.89%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -11.91%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.64%EV -12.30%E -1.68%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -11.91%E -2.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 19:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -12.90%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.69%E -0.567%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -12.90%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.69%E -0.567%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -12.90%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.69%E -0.567%K -0.718%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 19:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.01%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -12.90%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -10.89%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -5.77%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 19:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -7.81%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 18:50
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-14 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.85%EV -9.55%E -7.13%K -28.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -15.90%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.72%EV -9.55%E -7.13%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.96%EV -17.10%E -2.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.76%EV -10.22%E -7.69%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.06%EV -18.30%E -2.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -9.86%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 19:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.48%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.11%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.41%0.0%2026-09-14 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74%0.4%2026-09-14 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74%0.4%2026-09-14 19:40
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-09-14 19:40
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-09-14 19:35
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-09-14 19:40