StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Braga v Estoril

2026-09-14 19:45 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Braga (Heim)

Prognose 61.31%1.63faire Quote
EV -4.97%
Vorteil -3.21%
Kelly -9.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.72%61.19%61.10%62.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.471.511.501.5568.03%66.38%66.67%64.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Estoril (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.10%6.21faire Quote
EV -3.40%
Vorteil -0.567%
Kelly -0.680%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.54%16.23%16.09%18.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.605.625.656.0021.74%17.81%17.70%16.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.59%4.43faire Quote
EV -0.594%
Vorteil -0.135%
Kelly -0.175%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.40%22.59%22.80%23.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.044.004.4026.67%24.75%25.00%22.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Braga (Heim): 61.31%; Estoril (Auswärts): 16.10%; Unentschieden: 22.59%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.43. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.40, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.594%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -15.47%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -0.594%E -0.135%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:45
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:45
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -10.53%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 20:44
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 20:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -6.62%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.46%EV -8.23%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:44
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -7.43%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.23%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.653%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 20:44
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -15.47%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 19:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.50%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 20:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:50
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -24.33%E -5.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.76%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.01%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.01%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.72%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -22.72%E -4.73%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -15.28%E -4.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-07 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.78%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.78%EV -25.94%E -5.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -13.02%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%13.0%2026-09-07 19:45
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 43.35%5.88I 17.01%NM 11.21%1.45I 68.97%NM 45.44%51.8%2026-09-07 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-09-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-09-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-07 14:40