StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Braga v Estoril

2026-09-14 19:45 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Wedstrijduitslag

38 wedaanbieders (11 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Braga (Thuis)

Prognose 61.31%1.63margevrije odds
EV -4.97%
Voordeel -3.21%
Kelly -9.04%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.55

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
58.72%61.19%61.10%62.55%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.471.511.501.5568.03%66.38%66.67%64.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Estoril (Uit)

Prognose 16.10%6.21margevrije odds
EV -3.40%
Voordeel -0.567%
Kelly -0.680%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 6.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
15.54%16.23%16.09%18.78%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.605.625.656.0021.74%17.81%17.70%16.67%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 22.59%4.43margevrije odds
EV -0.594%
Voordeel -0.135%
Kelly -0.175%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 4.40

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
21.40%22.59%22.80%23.69%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.754.044.004.4026.67%24.75%25.00%22.73%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Braga (Thuis): 61.31%; Estoril (Uit): 16.10%; Gelijkspel: 22.59%. Voor Gelijkspel komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.43. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau: de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.40, met een verwachtingswaarde van -0.594%; ze leveren geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (38 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -15.47%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -0.594%E -0.135%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:45
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:45
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -10.53%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 20:44
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 20:44
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -6.62%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.46%EV -8.23%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:44
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -7.43%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.23%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.653%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 20:44
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -15.47%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 19:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.50%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 20:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:50
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -24.33%E -5.18%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.76%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.01%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.01%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 19:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.72%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -22.72%E -4.73%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -15.28%E -4.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-07 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.78%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.78%EV -25.94%E -5.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -13.02%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-07 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%13.0%2026-09-07 19:45
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 43.35%5.88I 17.01%NM 11.21%1.45I 68.97%NM 45.44%51.8%2026-09-07 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-09-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-09-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-07 14:40