Idioma:Español
Braga v Estoril
Resultado del partido
Braga (Local)
Predicción 61.31%1.63momio equitativo
EV -4.97%
Ventaja -3.21%
Kelly -9.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.72%61.19%61.10%62.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.511.501.5568.03%66.38%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Estoril (Visitante)
Predicción 16.10%6.21momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.567%
Kelly -0.680%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.54%16.23%16.09%18.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.625.656.0021.74%17.81%17.70%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.59%4.43momio equitativo
EV -0.594%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.175%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.40%22.59%22.80%23.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.044.004.4026.67%24.75%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Braga (Local): 61.31%; Estoril (Visitante): 16.10%; Empate: 22.59%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.43. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.40, con un valor esperado de -0.594%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -15.47%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -0.594%E -0.135%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -10.53%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 20:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -6.62%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-07 19:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.46%EV -8.23%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -7.43%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -8.23%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.40%E -0.567%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.85%E -0.664%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -2.18%E -0.502%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 20:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.11%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 19:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -15.47%E -2.95%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.37%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 19:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.50%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 20:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.14%EV -9.84%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -24.33%E -5.18%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.76%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-07 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.01%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -5.01%E -0.849%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.42%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.63%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.45%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -11.89%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.72%EV -9.26%E -6.26%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -22.72%E -4.73%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -15.28%E -4.07%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-07 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.78%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.78%EV -25.94%E -5.64%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -13.02%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-07 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 43.35% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 11.21% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 45.44% | 51.8% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |