Школа коэффициентов

Arouca v Nacional

Начало: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arouca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.45%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.54%
Преимущество -1.60%
Kelly -2.90%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.22

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.35%43.47%43.47%45.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.48%46.51%45.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Nacional (Гости)

Прогноз 28.38%3.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.678%
Преимущество -0.194%
Kelly -0.271%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.76%28.38%28.37%29.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.81%30.77%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.17%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.40%
Преимущество -0.399%
Kelly -0.559%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.20%28.14%28.16%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.26%30.30%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.40%E -0.399%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.98%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.692%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.64%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:23
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.92%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:05
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.86%E -6.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-02-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-02-21 15:25