Die Schule der Quoten

Arouca v Nacional

Spielbeginn: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Arouca (Heim)

Prognose 43.45%2.30faire Quote
EV -3.54%
Vorteil -1.60%
Kelly -2.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.35%43.47%43.47%45.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.48%46.51%45.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Nacional (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.38%3.52faire Quote
EV -0.678%
Vorteil -0.194%
Kelly -0.271%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.76%28.38%28.37%29.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.81%30.77%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 28.17%3.55faire Quote
EV -1.40%
Vorteil -0.399%
Kelly -0.559%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.20%28.14%28.16%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.26%30.30%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.40%E -0.399%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.98%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.692%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.64%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:23
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.92%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:05
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.86%E -6.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-02-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-02-21 15:25