Szkoła Kursów

Arouca v Nacional

Początek: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arouca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.45%2.30kurs godziwy
EV -3.54%
Przewaga -1.60%
Kelly -2.90%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.35%43.47%43.47%45.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.48%46.51%45.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nacional (Goście)

Prognoza 28.38%3.52kurs godziwy
EV -0.678%
Przewaga -0.194%
Kelly -0.271%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.76%28.38%28.37%29.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.81%30.77%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.17%3.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.40%
Przewaga -0.399%
Kelly -0.559%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.20%28.14%28.16%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.26%30.30%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.40%E -0.399%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.98%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.692%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.64%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:23
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.92%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:05
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.86%E -6.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-02-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-02-21 15:25