Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arouca (Casa): 43.45%; Nacional (Trasferta): 28.38%; Pareggio: 28.17%. Per Nacional (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.52. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.50, con un valore atteso del -0.678%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.40%E -0.399%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.98%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.692%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.64%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 15:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.92%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.86%E -6.55%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 15:25 |