De Oddsschool

Arouca v Nacional

Aanvang: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

56 wedaanbieders (19 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: IQM

Arouca (Thuis)

Prognose 43.45%2.30margevrije odds
EV -3.54%
Voordeel -1.60%
Kelly -2.90%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.22

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
42.35%43.47%43.47%45.69%MINGEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX
Verdeling van de odds
2.002.152.152.2250.00%46.48%46.51%45.05%MINGEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX

Nacional (Uit)

Prognose 28.38%3.52margevrije odds
EV -0.678%
Voordeel -0.194%
Kelly -0.271%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
26.76%28.38%28.37%29.87%MINGEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX
Verdeling van de odds
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.81%30.77%28.57%MINGEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX

Gelijkspel

Prognose 28.17%3.55margevrije odds
EV -1.40%
Voordeel -0.399%
Kelly -0.559%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
27.20%28.14%28.16%29.41%MINGEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX
Verdeling van de odds
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.26%30.30%28.57%MINGEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX

Odds van wedaanbieders (56 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -1.40%E -0.399%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%EV -3.54%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 15:15
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -3.98%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.692%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.09%E -0.897%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.41%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:14
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -5.28%E -2.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:10
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -5.71%E -2.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.64%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -5.22%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -6.15%E -2.85%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:05
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.58%E -3.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:23
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -7.02%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -6.92%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.79%EV -10.06%E -4.86%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -0.678%E -0.194%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:05
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.10%E -6.55%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.86%E -6.55%K -10.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-02-21 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.2%2026-02-21 15:25