Language:English
Arouca v CS Maritimo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arouca (Local)
Prediction 45.59%2.19fair odd
EV -0.622%
Edge -0.285%
Kelly -0.527%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.83%45.44%45.61%46.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.062.052.1851.02%48.45%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CS Maritimo (Visit)
Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -0.673%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.05%26.03%27.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8230.77%28.63%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.41%3.52fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.62%28.51%28.36%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.18%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arouca (Local): 45.59%; CS Maritimo (Visit): 26.00%; Draw: 28.41%. For Arouca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.622%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -0.622%E -0.285%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -7.09%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.26%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.81%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -9.28%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.65%E -5.43%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |