StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arouca v CS Maritimo

2026-08-29 14:30 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Matchresultat

34 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arouca (Hemma)

Prognos 42.38%2.36rättvist odds
EV -2.11%
Fördel -0.914%
Kelly -1.61%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.61%42.38%42.31%44.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.192.202.3147.62%45.74%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Borta)

Prognos 28.62%3.49rättvist odds
EV +1.59%
Fördel +0.447%
Kelly +0.623%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.80%28.60%28.73%30.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.213.203.5535.09%31.14%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.01%3.45rättvist odds
EV -3.98%
Fördel -1.20%
Kelly -1.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.32%29.02%28.96%30.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.173.203.3133.33%31.53%31.25%30.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Arouca (Hemma): 42.38%; CS Maritimo (Borta): 28.62%; Oavgjort: 29.01%. För CS Maritimo (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.49. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.55, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.59%.

Spelbolagsodds (34 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.46%EV -9.32%E -4.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.59%E +0.447%K +0.623%G +0.010%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.74%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 20:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 20:54
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.89%E -4.14%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 21:00
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 20:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.14%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -7.62%E -3.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -7.62%E -3.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 21:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 21:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 21:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 20:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 20:09
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 21:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.89%E -4.14%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 21:05
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 21:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.89%E -4.14%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 21:03
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -10.72%E -3.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -9.50%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 21:03
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -10.72%E -3.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -9.50%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 21:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 21:00
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 20:58
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 20:09
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.61%EV -2.11%E -0.914%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.36%EV -11.58%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.04%EV -6.31%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -7.62%E -3.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -12.15%E -3.96%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.68%EV -8.05%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 20:58
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.89%E -4.14%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -17.01%E -5.87%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 20:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -8.89%E -4.14%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -18.44%E -6.47%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 21:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-08-24 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-08-24 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-08-24 20:54
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%9.3%2026-08-24 21:00