StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arouca v CS Maritimo

Matchstart: 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Arouca 2–1 CS Maritimo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arouca (Hemma)

Prognos 45.59%2.19rättvist odds
EV -0.622%
Fördel -0.285%
Kelly -0.527%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.83%45.44%45.61%46.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.962.062.052.1851.02%48.45%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

CS Maritimo (Borta)

Prognos 26.00%3.85rättvist odds
EV -0.673%
Fördel -0.176%
Kelly -0.239%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.91%26.05%26.03%27.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.493.503.8230.77%28.63%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.41%3.52rättvist odds
EV -3.40%
Fördel -1.000%
Kelly -1.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.62%28.51%28.36%29.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.18%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arouca (Hemma): 45.59%; CS Maritimo (Borta): 26.00%; Oavgjort: 28.41%. För Arouca (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.19. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.18, med väntevärdet -0.622%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -0.622%E -0.285%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -7.09%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 01:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 01:14
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 01:14
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.26%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 01:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 01:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:14
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 14:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:15
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:19
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.81%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -9.28%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.65%E -5.43%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 14:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-08-29 14:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-08-29 14:25