Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arouca v CS Maritimo

Inizio: 2026-08-29 14:30 UTC

Finale: Arouca 2–1 CS Maritimo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arouca (Casa)

Previsione 45.59%2.19quota equa
EV -0.622%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.527%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.83%45.44%45.61%46.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.062.052.1851.02%48.45%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

CS Maritimo (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV -0.673%
Vantaggio -0.176%
Kelly -0.239%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.91%26.05%26.03%27.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.493.503.8230.77%28.63%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.41%3.52quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -1.000%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.62%28.51%28.36%29.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.18%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arouca (Casa): 45.59%; CS Maritimo (Trasferta): 26.00%; Pareggio: 28.41%. Per Arouca (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.19. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.18, con un valore atteso del -0.622%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -0.622%E -0.285%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -7.09%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 01:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 01:14
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 01:14
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.26%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 14:25
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 01:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 01:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 01:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 14:14
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 14:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 14:15
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:19
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.81%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 14:05
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -9.28%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.65%E -5.43%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 14:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-08-29 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-08-29 14:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-08-29 14:25