Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.18
avec la cote maximale 3.82
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arouca (Local) : 45.59% ; CS Maritimo (Visiteur) : 26.00% ; Match nul : 28.41%. Pour Arouca (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.19. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.18, pour une espérance de -0.622% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -0.622%E -0.285%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -7.09%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.26%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.81%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -9.28%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.65%E -5.43%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |