Idioma:Español
Arouca v CS Maritimo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arouca (Local)
Predicción 45.59%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.622%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.527%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.83%45.44%45.61%46.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.062.052.1851.02%48.45%48.78%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
CS Maritimo (Visitante)
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -0.673%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.239%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%26.05%26.03%27.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.8230.77%28.63%28.57%26.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.41%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.000%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.62%28.51%28.36%29.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.18%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arouca (Local): 45.59%; CS Maritimo (Visitante): 26.00%; Empate: 28.41%. Para Arouca (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.18, con un valor esperado de -0.622%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.51%EV -0.622%E -0.285%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -7.09%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -1.53%E -0.710%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 01:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.26%EV -4.72%E -2.26%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -0.673%E -0.176%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.07%EV -5.18%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -5.64%E -2.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -13.34%E -4.37%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 01:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.55%E -3.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.43%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.81%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.83%E -4.41%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.28%EV -9.28%E -4.67%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.74%E -4.92%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.21%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.33%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.65%E -5.43%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 14:25 |