Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v Nieciecza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 50.19%1.99fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.82%50.17%50.14%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.36%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nieciecza (Visit)
Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -0.134%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.043%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.12%24.10%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.773.754.1428.99%26.52%26.67%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%25.71%25.76%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.553.7532.26%28.28%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 50.19%; Nieciecza (Visit): 24.12%; Draw: 25.69%. For Nieciecza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.14, with an expected value of -0.134%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 20:47 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 23:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.67%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.89%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -16.78%E -4.86%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -20.37%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |