La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Zagłębie Lubin v Nieciecza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Predicción 50.19%1.99momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.82%50.17%50.14%51.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.36%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nieciecza (Visitante)
Predicción 24.12%4.15momio equitativo
EV -0.134%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.043%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.12%24.10%25.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.773.754.1428.99%26.52%26.67%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.69%3.89momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -0.979%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.02%25.71%25.76%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.7532.26%28.28%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 20:47 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 23:33 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:36 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.67%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.89%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -16.78%E -4.86%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -20.37%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |