L’École des cotesFrançais
Zagłębie Lubin v Nieciecza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prévision 50.19%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.82%50.17%50.14%51.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.36%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nieciecza (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.12%4.15cote équitable
EV -0.134%
Avantage -0.032%
Kelly -0.043%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%24.12%24.10%25.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.773.754.1428.99%26.52%26.67%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.69%3.89cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -0.979%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%25.71%25.76%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.553.7532.26%28.28%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 20:47 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 23:33 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:36 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.67%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.89%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -16.78%E -4.86%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -20.37%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.58% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |