مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zagłębie Lubin v Nieciecza

البداية: 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.19%1.99السعر العادل
EV -4.14%
الأفضلية -2.17%
Kelly -4.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.82%50.17%50.14%51.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.36%54.64%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nieciecza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.12%4.15السعر العادل
EV -0.134%
الأفضلية -0.032%
Kelly -0.043%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.08%24.12%24.10%25.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.773.754.1428.99%26.52%26.67%24.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.69%3.89السعر العادل
EV -3.67%
الأفضلية -0.979%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.02%25.71%25.76%27.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.543.553.7532.26%28.28%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 20:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:50
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:04
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 23:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:35
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:05
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 11:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 09:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 11:40
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 20:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 20:47
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 20:49
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 09:00
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 09:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 13:05
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 23:33
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:36
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:35
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 11:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 02:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:04
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 07:34
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 16:00
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.67%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.89%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -16.78%E -4.86%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 20:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -20.37%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 16:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-24 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%7.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%7.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%8.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 48.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%8.9%2026-04-24 02:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%9.0%2026-04-24 03:50