A Escola das Odds

Zagłębie Lubin v Nieciecza

Início: 2026-04-24 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Previsão 50.19%1.99odd justa
EV -4.14%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.82%50.17%50.14%51.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.841.831.9157.80%54.36%54.64%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nieciecza (Visitante)

Previsão 24.12%4.15odd justa
EV -0.134%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.043%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.08%24.12%24.10%25.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.453.773.754.1428.99%26.52%26.67%24.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.69%3.89odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -0.979%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.02%25.71%25.76%27.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.543.553.7532.26%28.28%28.17%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 20:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 20:50
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:04
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 11:40
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.10%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 23:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 23:35
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:05
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 11:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:59
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 09:40
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 11:40
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.63%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.24%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 20:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.67%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:05
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 20:47
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 20:49
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 09:00
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 09:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:00
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 13:05
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.51%EV -4.96%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -7.01%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 23:33
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:36
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.81%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:35
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -8.65%E -4.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.95%E -3.28%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 11:40
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 02:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.66%E -3.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:04
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 07:34
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 16:00
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.67%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -11.89%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 16:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -16.78%E -4.86%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 20:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.17%E -7.61%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -20.37%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 16:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.00%2.6%2026-04-24 03:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%7.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%7.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%8.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 48.58%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%8.9%2026-04-24 02:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%9.0%2026-04-24 03:50