Language:English
Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisła Kraków (Local)
Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.71%42.02%41.77%43.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.32%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 32.64%3.06fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.568%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.21%32.55%32.82%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.833.1038.46%34.94%35.34%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.43%25.41%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Kraków (Local): 41.95%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 32.64%; Draw: 25.41%. For Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.07%E -0.691%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -2.19%E -0.568%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -16.10%E -8.05%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.35%EV -7.29%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.12%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.73%EV -7.62%E -2.69%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.23%EV -14.84%E -7.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-07 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.91%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -8.55%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 04:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-09 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |