The School of Odds
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Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok

2026-09-11 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.16%43.23%43.04%45.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.082.082.2050.76%47.99%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)

Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.514%
Kelly +0.742%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.80%31.14%31.22%32.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.013.003.2537.04%33.22%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.66%3.90fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.63%25.74%26.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.603.8530.30%28.30%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wisła Kraków (Local): 43.06%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 31.28%; Draw: 25.66%. For Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.03%E -6.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -1.46%E -0.463%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -3.02%E -0.975%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.86%E -3.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -14.75%E -7.45%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -14.75%E -7.45%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -15.18%E -7.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -15.18%E -7.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -4.90%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.34%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.34%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.91%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.20%EV -12.60%E -6.21%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -13.52%E -4.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.41%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.41%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -15.54%E -5.75%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.78%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -15.54%E -5.75%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 42.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%16.5%2026-09-05 23:05