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Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Wisła Kraków (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.95%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.51%
Преимущество -1.53%
Kelly -2.70%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.71%42.02%41.77%43.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.32%46.51%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Гости)
Прогноз 32.64%3.06справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.19%
Преимущество +0.385%
Kelly +0.568%
Рост +0.007%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.21%32.55%32.82%34.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.862.833.1038.46%34.94%35.34%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.41%3.94справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.19%
Преимущество -0.568%
Kelly -0.767%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.48%25.43%25.41%26.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Wisła Kraków (Хозяева): 41.95%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Гости): 32.64%; Ничья: 25.41%. Для исхода «Jagiellonia Białystok (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.06. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.19%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.07%E -0.691%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -2.19%E -0.568%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -16.10%E -8.05%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.35%EV -7.29%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.12%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.73%EV -7.62%E -2.69%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.23%EV -14.84%E -7.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-07 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.91%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -8.55%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 04:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-09 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |