StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok

2026-09-11 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Matchresultat

33 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Wisła Kraków (Hemma)

Prognos 43.06%2.32rättvist odds
EV -5.28%
Fördel -2.40%
Kelly -4.40%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.16%43.23%43.04%45.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.972.082.082.2050.76%47.99%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Borta)

Prognos 31.28%3.20rättvist odds
EV +1.67%
Fördel +0.514%
Kelly +0.742%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.80%31.14%31.22%32.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.013.003.2537.04%33.22%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.66%3.90rättvist odds
EV -1.20%
Fördel -0.312%
Kelly -0.421%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.34%25.63%25.74%26.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.533.603.8530.30%28.30%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Wisła Kraków (Hemma): 43.06%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Borta): 31.28%; Oavgjort: 25.66%. För Jagiellonia Białystok (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.20. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.25, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (33 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -10.45%E -5.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +1.67%E +0.514%K +0.742%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -13.03%E -6.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -1.46%E -0.463%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -3.02%E -0.975%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -7.86%E -3.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -14.75%E -7.45%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -14.75%E -7.45%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -15.18%E -7.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -15.18%E -7.71%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -4.59%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -4.90%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.15%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.20%E -0.312%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.34%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.16%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.34%EV -7.40%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.91%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.20%EV -12.60%E -6.21%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -13.52%E -4.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.41%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.41%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-05 23:04
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.97%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.74%E -5.73%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -15.54%E -5.75%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.78%EV -13.89%E -6.94%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -15.54%E -5.75%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 42.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%16.5%2026-09-05 23:05