Idioma:Español
Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wisła Kraków (Local)
Predicción 41.95%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.71%42.02%41.77%43.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.32%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)
Predicción 32.64%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.385%
Kelly +0.568%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.21%32.55%32.82%34.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.862.833.1038.46%34.94%35.34%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.41%3.94momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.568%
Kelly -0.767%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.48%25.43%25.41%26.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wisła Kraków (Local): 41.95%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante): 32.64%; Empate: 25.41%. Para Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.06. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.19%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.07%E -0.691%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -2.19%E -0.568%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -16.10%E -8.05%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.35%EV -7.29%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.12%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.73%EV -7.62%E -2.69%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.23%EV -14.84%E -7.31%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-07 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.91%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -8.55%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 04:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-09 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.71% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |