Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok

Início: 2026-09-11 18:30 UTC

Final: Wisła Kraków 2–0 Jagiellonia Białystok

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Previsão 41.95%2.38odd justa
EV -3.51%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.71%42.02%41.77%43.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.32%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)

Previsão 32.64%3.06odd justa
EV +1.19%
Vantagem +0.385%
Kelly +0.568%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.21%32.55%32.82%34.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.862.833.1038.46%34.94%35.34%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.41%3.94odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -0.568%
Kelly -0.767%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.48%25.43%25.41%26.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wisła Kraków (Local): 41.95%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante): 32.64%; Empate: 25.41%. Para Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.06. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV +1.19%E +0.385%K +0.568%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.07%E -0.691%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 19:49
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 22:00
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%EV -15.26%E -7.55%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -5.34%E -1.84%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.51%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -2.19%E -0.568%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 10:00
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 10:09
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 18:33
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -16.10%E -8.05%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -6.97%E -2.44%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 06:44
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.35%EV -7.29%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.12%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.73%EV -7.62%E -2.69%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.910%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 09:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 10:45
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -4.35%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 10:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.23%EV -14.84%E -7.31%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -8.60%E -3.07%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 21:59
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.45%E -2.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.40%EV -9.91%E -3.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:59
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.98%EV -8.55%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 10:00
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 10:00
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 09:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.71%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 09:59
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -10.23%E -3.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 04:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.81%E -4.56%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 09:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.10%EV -13.16%E -6.36%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -11.86%E -4.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-09 14:14
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.13%E -5.82%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 09:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.71%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-09-09 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%4.2%2026-09-09 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%4.2%2026-09-09 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.74%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%4.2%2026-09-09 12:00
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%5.1%2026-09-09 10:20