Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 41.52%2.41fair odd
EV +0.894%
Edge +0.368%
Kelly +0.625%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.68%41.31%41.51%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.222.4348.78%44.53%45.05%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lech Poznań (Visit)
Prediction 31.64%3.16fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -0.913%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.77%31.77%34.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.45%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -0.938%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.92%26.72%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.51%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 41.52%; Lech Poznań (Visit): 31.64%; Draw: 26.84%. For Widzew Łódź (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.894%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -1.92%E -0.618%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.39%EV -8.24%E -3.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.10%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 19:13 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -22.70%E -7.88%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -9.07%E -4.14%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -11.98%E -5.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -12.04%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.30%EV -9.55%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.94%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.94%E -5.12%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.48%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |