A Escola das Odds

Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań

Início: 2026-03-07 19:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Previsão 41.52%2.41odd justa
EV +0.894%
Vantagem +0.368%
Kelly +0.625%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.68%41.31%41.51%42.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.252.222.4348.78%44.53%45.05%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lech Poznań (Visitante)

Previsão 31.64%3.16odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.618%
Kelly -0.913%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.56%31.77%31.77%34.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.45%35.71%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.84%3.73odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -0.938%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.25%26.92%26.72%29.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.51%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:15
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:01
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:15
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:14
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:09
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -1.92%E -0.618%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:14
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:14
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:15
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:15
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.39%EV -8.24%E -3.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.10%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:13
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:14
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 19:14
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -22.70%E -7.88%K -12.08%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-07 19:14
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -9.07%E -4.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 19:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 19:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -11.98%E -5.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -12.04%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.30%EV -9.55%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 19:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 19:15
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 19:15
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.94%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.94%E -5.12%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.48%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-07 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%2.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%3.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%10.0%2026-03-07 19:14