La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Predicción 41.52%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.894%
Ventaja +0.368%
Kelly +0.625%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.68%41.31%41.51%42.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.222.4348.78%44.53%45.05%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 31.64%3.16momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -0.913%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.56%31.77%31.77%34.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.45%35.71%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.938%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.92%26.72%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.51%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -1.92%E -0.618%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.39%EV -8.24%E -3.73%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.10%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 19:13 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -22.70%E -7.88%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| BetUS | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -9.07%E -4.14%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -11.98%E -5.65%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -12.04%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.30%EV -9.55%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.94%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.94%E -5.12%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.48%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |