Szkoła Kursów

Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań

Początek: 2026-03-07 19:17 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.52%2.41kurs godziwy
EV +0.894%
Przewaga +0.368%
Kelly +0.625%
Wzrost +0.006%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.68%41.31%41.51%42.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.252.222.4348.78%44.53%45.05%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lech Poznań (Goście)

Prognoza 31.64%3.16kurs godziwy
EV -1.92%
Przewaga -0.618%
Kelly -0.913%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.56%31.77%31.77%34.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.45%35.71%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.84%3.73kurs godziwy
EV -3.38%
Przewaga -0.938%
Kelly -1.30%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.25%26.92%26.72%29.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.51%29.41%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:15
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:01
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:15
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:14
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:09
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -1.92%E -0.618%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:14
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:14
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:15
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:15
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.39%EV -8.24%E -3.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.10%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:13
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:14
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 19:14
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -22.70%E -7.88%K -12.08%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-07 19:14
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -9.07%E -4.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 19:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 19:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -11.98%E -5.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -12.04%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.30%EV -9.55%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 19:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 19:15
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 19:15
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.94%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.94%E -5.12%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.48%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-07 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%2.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%3.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%10.0%2026-03-07 19:14