Школа коэффициентов

Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań

Начало: 2026-03-07 19:17 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Widzew Łódź (Хозяева)

Прогноз 41.52%2.41справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.894%
Преимущество +0.368%
Kelly +0.625%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.43

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.68%41.31%41.51%42.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.252.222.4348.78%44.53%45.05%41.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Lech Poznań (Гости)

Прогноз 31.64%3.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.92%
Преимущество -0.618%
Kelly -0.913%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.56%31.77%31.77%34.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.45%35.71%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.84%3.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.38%
Преимущество -0.938%
Kelly -1.30%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.25%26.92%26.72%29.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.51%29.41%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:15
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV +0.894%E +0.368%K +0.625%G +0.006%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:14
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:01
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -0.351%E -0.146%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:14
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:15
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -3.26%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 19:14
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:14
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.09%E -1.77%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:09
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -5.26%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:15
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -1.92%E -0.618%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:14
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.74%E -6.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.68%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -19.32%E -7.58%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:14
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:14
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:15
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:15
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -5.71%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.82%E -3.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.39%EV -8.24%E -3.73%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.10%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 19:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:13
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.08%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 19:14
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 19:14
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.88%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 19:14
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -14.57%E -5.40%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -22.70%E -7.88%K -12.08%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-07 19:14
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -9.07%E -4.14%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.66%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.38%E -0.938%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 19:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 19:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -11.41%E -4.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -11.98%E -5.65%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.89%EV -12.04%E -4.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.30%EV -9.55%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 19:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 19:15
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.45%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -12.99%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 19:15
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.94%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -13.94%E -5.12%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.70%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.49%EV -16.15%E -6.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -19.48%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.8%2026-03-07 19:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%2.8%2026-03-07 19:15
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%3.0%2026-03-07 19:15
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%10.0%2026-03-07 19:14