Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV +0.709%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.308%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%30.42%30.48%32.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.3036.36%33.59%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lech Poznań (Visit)
Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%43.26%43.28%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.132.122.2351.28%46.88%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.393%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%26.33%26.25%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 30.52%; Lech Poznań (Visit): 43.21%; Draw: 26.27%. For Widzew Łódź (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.709%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -0.817%E -0.251%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.49%EV -9.09%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -1.12%E -0.346%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.83%E -4.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.47%E -0.393%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 06:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.73%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.28%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.33%EV -11.46%E -3.40%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.51%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.35%EV -12.72%E -6.30%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.33%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -15.74%E -8.07%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |