Idioma:Español
Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Predicción 30.52%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.709%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.308%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%30.42%30.48%32.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.983.003.3036.36%33.59%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lech Poznań (Visitante)
Predicción 43.21%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%43.26%43.28%44.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.132.122.2351.28%46.88%47.17%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.393%
Kelly -0.535%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%26.33%26.25%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.67%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Widzew Łódź (Local): 30.52%; Lech Poznań (Visitante): 43.21%; Empate: 26.27%. Para Widzew Łódź (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.709%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -0.817%E -0.251%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.49%EV -9.09%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -1.12%E -0.346%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.83%E -4.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.47%E -0.393%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 06:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.73%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.28%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.33%EV -11.46%E -3.40%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.51%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.35%EV -12.72%E -6.30%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.33%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -15.74%E -8.07%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |