StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 18:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Widzew Łódź 2–3 Lech Poznań

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Widzew Łódź (Hemma)

Prognos 30.52%3.28rättvist odds
EV +0.709%
Fördel +0.215%
Kelly +0.308%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.93%30.42%30.48%32.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.983.003.3036.36%33.59%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Borta)

Prognos 43.21%2.31rättvist odds
EV -3.65%
Fördel -1.63%
Kelly -2.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.01%43.26%43.28%44.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.132.122.2351.28%46.88%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.27%3.81rättvist odds
EV -1.47%
Fördel -0.393%
Kelly -0.535%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.72%26.33%26.25%27.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Widzew Łódź (Hemma): 30.52%; Lech Poznań (Borta): 43.21%; Oavgjort: 26.27%. För Widzew Łódź (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.28. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.709%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:05
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -0.817%E -0.251%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.49%EV -9.09%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -1.12%E -0.346%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 18:10
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:04
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 02:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 17:59
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:05
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:55
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.83%E -4.19%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:05
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.47%E -0.393%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:04
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 12:25
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 17:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 06:20
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:58
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 17:55
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 17:45
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 18:05
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:00
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.73%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.28%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.33%EV -11.46%E -3.40%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:05
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 02:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.51%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.35%EV -12.72%E -6.30%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-30 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.33%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 17:59
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -15.74%E -8.07%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-30 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-30 18:05
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%2.3%2026-08-30 18:05
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-08-30 18:00