Langue:Français
Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prévision 30.52%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.709%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.308%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%30.42%30.48%32.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.983.003.3036.36%33.59%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.21%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -2.96%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.01%43.26%43.28%44.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.132.122.2351.28%46.88%47.17%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.393%
Kelly -0.535%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%26.33%26.25%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Widzew Łódź (Local) : 30.52% ; Lech Poznań (Visiteur) : 43.21% ; Match nul : 26.27%. Pour Widzew Łódź (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.28. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.709%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +0.709%E +0.215%K +0.308%G +0.002% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -0.817%E -0.251%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.49%EV -9.09%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.69%EV -1.12%E -0.346%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.58%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.34%E -0.732%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.06%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.92%EV -8.83%E -4.19%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.47%E -0.393%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 06:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.73%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.28%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.33%EV -11.46%E -3.40%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.51%EV -12.41%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.35%EV -12.72%E -6.30%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.33%EV -7.53%E -3.52%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -13.02%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.55%E -5.20%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -15.74%E -8.07%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -16.08%E -5.85%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 18:00 |