Language:English
Widzew Łódź v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Prediction 46.96%2.13fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.97%47.02%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.962.0254.64%51.30%51.02%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 24.30%4.11fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.774%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%24.28%24.27%25.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.804.2528.57%26.50%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.74%3.48fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%28.75%28.71%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 46.96%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 24.30%; Draw: 28.74%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +3.29%E +0.774%K +1.01%G +0.033% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -0.355%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.14%E -2.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.30%E -0.676%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -11.71%E -6.23%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -14.06%E -7.68%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.08%EV -12.93%E -4.27%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 17:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |