默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Widzew Łódź v Korona Kielce

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 18:15 UTC

最终结果: Widzew Łódź 1–2 Korona Kielce

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Widzew Łódź (主队)

预测 46.96%2.13公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -2.54%
Kelly -5.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
45.69%46.97%47.02%48.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.951.962.0254.64%51.30%51.02%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Korona Kielce (客队)

预测 24.30%4.11公平赔率
EV +3.29%
优势 +0.774%
Kelly +1.01%
增长率 +0.033%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
22.37%24.28%24.27%25.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.773.804.2528.57%26.50%26.32%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.74%3.48公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -0.676%
Kelly -0.958%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.04%28.75%28.71%29.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.46%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Widzew Łódź (主队):46.96%;Korona Kielce (客队):24.30%;平局:28.74%。 对于“Korona Kielce (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.11。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.25,对应+3.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +3.29%E +0.774%K +1.01%G +0.033%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:04
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -0.355%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:49
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:03
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.14%E -2.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.30%E -0.676%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:44
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -11.71%E -6.23%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -14.06%E -7.68%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.08%EV -12.93%E -4.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 17:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 17:54
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 17:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:00
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.2%2026-08-15 18:10