StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Widzew Łódź v Korona Kielce

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 18:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Widzew Łódź 1–2 Korona Kielce

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Widzew Łódź (Hemma)

Prognos 46.96%2.13rättvist odds
EV -5.14%
Fördel -2.54%
Kelly -5.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.69%46.97%47.02%48.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.951.962.0254.64%51.30%51.02%49.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Korona Kielce (Borta)

Prognos 24.30%4.11rättvist odds
EV +3.29%
Fördel +0.774%
Kelly +1.01%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.37%24.28%24.27%25.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.773.804.2528.57%26.50%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.74%3.48rättvist odds
EV -2.30%
Fördel -0.676%
Kelly -0.958%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.04%28.75%28.71%29.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.46%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Widzew Łódź (Hemma): 46.96%; Korona Kielce (Borta): 24.30%; Oavgjort: 28.74%. För Korona Kielce (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.11. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV +3.29%E +0.774%K +1.01%G +0.033%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 18:04
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -0.355%E -0.087%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -0.938%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:49
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:48
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.32%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:04
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:03
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -5.14%E -2.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.30%E -0.676%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.17%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.65%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:44
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -11.71%E -6.23%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -14.06%E -7.68%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -8.86%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.36%E -4.05%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -12.18%E -6.51%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.08%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.08%EV -12.93%E -4.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 17:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.73%EV -7.96%E -4.06%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.08%E -3.04%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.61%E -2.03%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.05%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.02%E -3.54%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.51%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.79%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -9.83%E -5.12%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -13.72%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 17:54
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.43%E -4.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -9.37%E -4.85%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.48%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.30%E -5.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.94%E -4.27%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.92%E -3.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 17:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-15 18:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:00
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21%2.2%2026-08-15 18:10